Um desses Gurus postou ontem em seu movimentado fórum:

O movimento atual encerra qualquer possibilidade de recuo para as proximas semanas… o mercado agora vira sua tendencia semanal para tendencia de alta na maior parte dos papeis.
Os setups operados nas ultimas semanas como position tem funcionado muito bem.
Na ultima semana alguns sinais de venda haviam sido dados em determinados papeis… mas nao foram acionados nessa semana…
e portanto..a mao agora é compradora mesmo..
claro que os papeis ja fugiram do ponto de entrada… ideal..mas nos proximos recuos posso e vou comprar mais.

O cara afirma com convicção que nas próximas semanas o mercado não recuará. Hoje, no dia seguinte, o mercado recua forte. E o cara deve daqui a pouco postar uma bobagem qualquer, talvez dizendo que já tinha “alijado” parte da posição ontem, certamente COM LUCRO. Façam-me o favor!! Não é esse tipo de análise técnica que as pessoas devem aprender. AT funciona sim, e muito bem. Mas não faz previsão de nada. Todos aqueles analistas técnicos que fazem previsões, estão na verdade narrando o que acontece com o mercado, e não contribuem em nada para quem quer operar. Os que operam de verdade, esses sim, REAGEM ao mercado quando seus setups são acionados, dando extrema importância ao manejo de risco, que vai garantir sua sobrevivência.

Ouro continua sua tendência de baixa nessa moeda.

The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) of a stock, in basic terms, is the “average” price of the stock relative to the amount of volume it has traded during the day. With greater emphasis on monitoring VWAP due to algorithms impacting intraday trading activities, you might be surprised to learn that many day trading software firms do not use a standardized calculation of VWAP! While both calculations will produce similar results, you may wish to contact your day trading software firm to ask which VWAP calculation they use if your day trading style warrants monitoring VWAP. Chances are that the representative on the other end of the line may not know which calculation is used, so be prepared to wait a few hours (or even days!) before you get an answer.

The “cumulative” VWAP is considered to be the “most accurate” calculation as it changes with every transaction. The formula is:

The Sum of all transactions’ (Volume in shares x Price traded) divided by the Cumulative Volume. For example, let’s say the stock has 5 trades on the day so far:

• $20.05 1000 shares
• $20.06 800 shares
• $20.04 100 shares
• $20.03 2000 shares
• $20.03 3000 shares

The VWAP would be:

{($20.05 x 1000) + ($20.06 x 800) + ($20.04 x 100) + ($20.03 x 2000) + ($20.03 x 3000)} / (1000 + 800 + 100 + 2000 + 3000)

This translates into:

(20050 + 16048 + 2004 + 40060 + 60090) / (6900) = 20.0365. Therefore $20.0365 would be the “Cumulative VWAP”

The “iterative” VWAP calculation is sometimes used by software firms as it is easier to maintain in the database and prevents the overall software from running slower than optimal speed. It uses the last value of VWAP as the basis for calculating the VWAP on the next trade. Using the same example as above:

• 1st Iteration: (20.05 x 1000) / 1000 = 20050 / 1000 = $20.05
• 2nd Iteration: $20.05 + {(20.06 – 25.05) x 800)} / (1000 + 800) = 20.0544
• 3rd Iteration: 20.0544 + {(20.04 – 20.0544) x 100} / (1800 + 100) = 20.0536
• 4th Iteration: 20.0536 + {(20.03 – 20.0536) x 2000) / (1900 + 2000) = 20.0311
• 5th Iteration: 20.0311 + {(20.03 – 20.0311) x 3000) / (3900 + 3000) = 20.0306

Of course, as more trades (iterations) are made the closer the two VWAP calculations will become. With each symbol having several hundred (or several thousand) transactions each day, this should not be a great concern for most day traders. If you happen to monitor the VWAP for VERY thinly-traded symbols – with trades happening only a few times a day – consider asking your day trading software firm which method they use to calculate VWAP. This is simply so that you know how to monitor the trade activity and you then can make any necessary adjustments to your trading execution methods.

You also may wish to talk with your day trading software firm about other VWAP nuances such as if they count pre-market trades in the VWAP calculation. Find out if you have the ability to plot VWAP on intraday charts alongside indicators such as moving averages. These nuances will give you the best odds of maximizing your day trading software to help you with your VWAP-related trading.